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*Updates* 

06/01/17 -- King County Index of Leading Indicators through April 2017
05/09/17 -- Econpulse Issue #11 for Q1 2017
04/26/17 -- Fixed an error with March 2017 Forecast where the Excel version showed the wrong values for Rental Car taxes
03/10/17 -- March 2017 Forecast (with new COLA)

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Current Forecast

Mar2017_forecast_pdf
Mar2017_forecast_xls
Mar2017_presentation_pdf
Mar2017_video

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Quick Links

Local Inflation -
Since 2009 we've experienced relatively low annual inflation in most broad indexes, which has some benefits and other drawbacks. One benefit is that labor and operating costs can be lessened with lower inflation. Inflation policy makers target for an annual inflation rate of around 2%. Current forecasts are well within that range. For reference, the CPI-U covers a broader range of consumers, while the CPI-W measures prices for urban, hourly wage earners. 

chart_pic1  Inflation - Seattle CPI-U  Click for latest forecast.
chart_pic1  Inflation - Seattle CPI-W Click for latest forecast.

Here for the current KC COLA forecast?

Click here for the latest COLA forecast.

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Assessed Value - After years of record growth during the housing bubble, the county's assessed value declined from 2010 through 2013. Years 2014 and 2015 marked a major turnaround in assessed value, in fact, as of 2015, assessed value has returned to an all-time high.

chart_pic1  Assessed Value - Countywide Click for latest forecast.

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Sales Tax Base - The Great Recession and a slower than normal recovery took a major toll on the county's second largest tax revenue source. Beginning in 2012 this revenue began to recover in earnest and has now exceeded its previous highs. Beginning April 1st 2017, the retail sales tax in King County will be 10%. The bulk of this revenue is taken by the state and our regional transit authority (Sound Transit). The remaining portions King County receives go on to fund metro transit, criminal justice programs, mental health programs, children and family service programs and general government operations. Click here for a visual representation of the breakdown.

chart_pic1  Sales Tax - Tax base Click for latest forecast.

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EconPulse

We've put together a quarterly report with an economic overview of King County. Click the following links to access our PDF summary of local employment, housing, prices and taxable sales. New issues will arrive once per quarter.

Issue #11 Q1 2017 issue 
Construction Sales Tax

Issue #10 - Q4 2016 issue
King County Leading Indicators Index

Issue #9Q3 2016 issue
I-1433 & the New Minimum Wage Laws

Issue #8Q2 2016 issue
New Construction in King County

Issue #7 - Q1 2016 issue
Marijuana Revenues in King County

Issue #6 - Q4 2015 issue
Tourism in King County

Issue #5 - Q3 2015 issue
Poverty in King County

Issue #4 - Q2 2015 issue 
Manufacturing Employment

Issue #3 - Q1 2015 issue
Local Real Estate

Issue #2 - Q4 2014 issue 
Local Employment Growth

Issue #1 - Q3 2014 issue
Taxable Sales Expenditures

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Twitter

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